Rationale of an Alternative
A few weeks ago I wrote a series of essays in response to the “Geneva Accords” and the Ayalon-Nusseibe initiative (published in Israel Insider and the website of the Israel Hasbara Committee (IHC)), suggesting an alternative solution to the Arab-Israeli conflict, presenting a series of arguments to justify my proposal. Basically, I suggested that Israel endorses a fully independent Palestinian state in an extended Gaza Strip while annexing Judea and Samaria to the State of Israel. This should take place only after the elimination of the PLO and its Islamistic terrorist allies.
Since the publication of “Separate and Sustainable Existence without the Geneva Plan” I have received substantial feedback, some criticizing my idea and others indicating that I was not explicit enough. I wish now to respond to these critiques. To make it easier for the reader I will include substantial parts of that essay to make this presentation self-contained.
One might ask why should Israel take calculated risks endorsing the creation of a 23rd Arab state on part of its historical homeland, as well as absorption of a significant number of additional Muslim citizens. We are faced with four alternatives:
A: Keeping the situation as is with some security improvements (the security fence, abandoning certain “over-exposed” Jewish settlements).
B: Somehow convincing the Egyptians and the Jordanians to reoccupy the Gaza strip and parts of the “West Bank” and take responsibility for the Arab population in those territories.
C: Establishing a Palestinian state in the “West Bank” and the Gaza Strip following the US sponsored “Roadmap” or one of its variants.
D: Coming up with a proposal to overcome shortcomings of A. B. and C.
The first alternative invites continued political pressure that has increased lately, not only in the Arab world but also in Europe and Great Britain. If Arab propaganda in the US continues to increase the number of its “coverts” (which is happening today on US campuses), there might come a moment when the majority of Americans will side with the Palestinians, forcing Israel to surrender under the worse possible terms.
The second alternative is both non-realistic and dangerous. There is no conceivable way to convince Egypt to annex the terribly impoverished population of the Gaza Strip that is contaminated by violent revolutionary ideologies. Israel can open up completely the international border at Rafah, but Egypt will not control or accept the Palestinians as Egyptian citizens, which they never were. The Egyptian government hardly controls its current oppressed population and does not need an additional major problem.
The Jordanians might be more receptive regarding the territories of Judea and Samaria (although the addition of a million plus Palestinian Arabs might utterly destabilize its regime) but even if they were annexed to Jordan, it would potentially create a worse security problem for Israel than if those territories were politically independent under restrictions (the “Roadmap”). The stability of the Jordanian regime is limited. If taken over by a nationalistic Palestinian majority, its political and military goal would be to eradicate the state of Israel. And they might do this from a strategically advantageous position.
Furthermore, the 23rd Arab state has already been created de facto by Peres and Beilin with the tacit consent of Rabin (Israel’s Prime Minister!) in 1991-93, legitimizing the PLO as ruler of the newly formed “Palestinian Authority” (a euphemism for “Palestinian State”). All what can be done today is to define the boundaries of that 23rd Arab state, which has remained an open issue in 1993 (this is exactly what I am addressing in my proposal). Unfortunately, there is no clause in the Oslo Accords, endorsed by Bill Clinton that annuls the Oslo agreement if the Arabs violate it. This is why Peres and Beilin, who have made this glaring legal political blunder, keep adhering to it to save face.
We have already discussed the severe shortcomings of the third alternative (the “Roadmap”). This brings us to D. i.e., an alternative plan that is presented here.
My basic premises are:
Making concessions to terrorists will only encourage more vicious terrorism. Every terrorist organization has its political goals, but this does not legitimize terrorism. The Islamists, who perpetrated 9/11 and blow up synagogues, want to Islamize the whole world (after killing off all the Jews and then the Christians). The Baatists, who murder Americans and Iraqis, want to continue their brutal oppressive regime in Iraq, and the PLO and its allies want to eradicate the State of Israel and kill its inhabitants. None of these goals is open for negotiation.
The “Roadmap to Peace” is at best a roadmap to a short-lived period of non-violence just like the Oslo Accords. It might serve the short-term goals of some politicians in the US and in Israel, but in the long run it is a roadmap to a humanitarian catastrophe in Israel and a political disaster for the US that would lose an ally and encourage worldwide Islamist violence.
Without American military equipment Israel could not stand up to an all out Arab military assault, and without American business investments Israeli economy will collapse. The Arabs understand very well this Israeli weakness and have spent major efforts and monetary resources in a highly effective PR campaign, assisted by intrinsically anti Israel (and anti-American) media, to try and cut this lifeline of the Jewish state.
Arab strategists must have concluded that since the elimination of the state of Israel by a military assault has been tried and failed three times in a row, a deadly political PR offensive is more likely to succeed. Arab terrorism against the Israelis has therefore two objectives: the demoralization of the Israeli population and goading Israelis to retaliate militarily and so provide ammunition for the anti-Israeli PR war. Israel has awakened rather lately to the existence of this vital front and has failed so far to effectively counter this critical Arab assault.
The corollary of this critical dependence on US public opinion is that the US public must favorably accept any military or political solution to the conflict. Any solution must, therefore, be sellable to the American public in readily understandable terms. Unlike some American politicians, the American public is not likely to apply double standards and will accept actions of Israel that are in line with American ethical values.
The basic assumption in my proposal is that in no practical scenario will the Israelis expel the Palestinians from their villages and towns even during an all out war following flagrant Arab aggression (it is highly unlikely that this would be accepted by even a friendly American public), and that the Arab desire to eliminate the State of Israel by attrition (i.e., terrorism) or by a major military assault will never materialize (as long as Israel has US support). Just as non-realistic will be Israeli Jews’ consent to live in their ancient homeland as a political minority in a country dominated by Muslims. In other words, the solution must be a two-state solution.
But as stated before, the entwined geography of the proposed new Arab state alongside Israel as the US Roadmap implies, mandates that the Palestinian state be demilitarized, have limited control of its airspace, have limitations on the entry and exit of people, have limited rights to form military alliances with other countries, and be economically extremely dependent on the State of Israel for many decades to come.
In addition, there are the cardinal problems of dividing the sovereignty over the ancient Jewish capital of Jerusalem, the Arab acceptance of Jewish communities in Palestinian sovereign territory, the “right of return” of the descendents of the 1948 Arab refugees, and the awkward non-contiguity of the Gaza Strip in the proposed Palestinian state. Arafat’s PLO may accept most of these restrictions for a while, just as they did in 1993, but only in order to gain ground that will be used eventually to try to dislodge the Jewish state by a combination of renewed terrorism, international political and economic pressure, and by an extramural military assault, probably by Egypt, which prepares its military for this opportunity to erase its humiliation in 1948, 1956, 1967 and 1973.
Even if the Palestinians gave up on their "right of return," which is not very likely because it would legitimize Israel (see “A Justified Precondition but for Very Different Reasons”), the implementation of the Roadmap or its variants would continue to ferment Arab dissatisfaction, which undoubtedly would be exploited by extramural Arabs to continue to undermine the existence of the Jewish state by incessant terrorism. Such terrorism would continue, even in the unlikely event that the PLO dismantled competing radical terrorist organizations, such as Hammas and Islamic Jihad, as required by the American "Roadmap to Peace."
There is little doubt that the “Conquest” (“Fatah” in Arabic) terrorist movement would sprout daughter terrorist organizations such as the “Al-Aqsa Brigades,” which is officially financially supported by the PA, or the ”Armed Resistance Committees” that were responsible for the murderous attack on the American Convoy near Beit Hannon in the Gaza Strip. We saw similar behavior of continued violence in Northern Ireland perpetrated by splinter groups of the IRA, in spite of a highly publicized political settlement. Continued Islamic terrorism in Kashmir that was subdivided to achieve peace with the Muslims is another example. In brief, neither party would be satisfied. Under the current American proposal the Palestinian Arabs will not get full political independence, not to mention having to give up formally their dream of eradicating the Jewish state, while the Israelis will still face terrorism along a hardened but still permeable long border.
Consequently, let us create a separate and sustainable coexistence of a predominantly Jewish state and a viable fully independent Arab state in the Gaza Strip; the area of that state could be possibly increased from 360 to say, 600 square kilometers.
At
the same time, all other PA territories west of the Jordan would be annexed to
the State of Israel.
All Palestinians, including the stateless Palestinians in Lebanon and Syria, could then become automatically citizens of the new Palestinian state in Gaza, regaining internationally recognized citizenship. On the other hand, Arab inhabitants of the "West Bank" will be offered full Israeli citizenship pending their acceptance of Israeli nationality (i.e. analogously to naturalized American citizens, they will be required to swear exclusive allegiance to the laws of the democratic State of Israel, including recognition that Israel is the homeland of the Jewish people). Militant religious or nationalistic Arabs amongst them will have the option to become citizens of the independent Palestinian state of Gaza, whether they move there physically or not. If they choose to stay within the borders of Israel as alien residents, they would have to obey all laws of the land, except for service in the armed forces. Like alien residents in the US, they will have no voting rights. If such alien residents break the law they may be deported to the Palestinian state (again, as is provided in the US law for resident alien felons who could be deported to their country of origin). In any case, to survive in a potentially hostile neighborhood, the State of Israel must develop and institute an immutable national constitution that mandates expulsion of aliens as well as citizens (including clergy) who are found guilty of sedition or treason in a court of law.
While Arab “administrative” detainees will be released, Palestinian Arabs residing in the annexed territories suspected of lethal terrorist activities in the past, will be detained; if found guilty in a criminal court they would serve appropriate jail sentences in Israeli jails. This would also apply to Palestinian political leaders who ordered indiscriminate lethal terrorist raids against Israeli civilians.
Immigration of Muslims from other countries into the State of Israel would be limited, however, to maintain a demographic balance (similarly to the immigration quotas that used to be enforced in the US). Immigration of Jews will also be controlled, mainly by economic considerations and to keep criminals out, except for Jewish victims of religious or ethnic persecution (again, similarly to US immigration laws).
My proposal offers the Arabs a politically and economically viable Palestinian state, while giving Israel its required long-term security and alleviating an impending Islamistic demographic threat in the remote future (see “A danger the is not Real”).
Let us analyze the features of this suggestion:
Moreover, unlike Hong Kong and Singapore, the Gaza Strip has commercially valuable natural gas reserves and possibly also oil. Also, the coast of the Strip with its wide beaches could compete for North European Tourists with the French Riviera and the Spanish Gold Coast, as well as with Israel’s Eilat and Jordan’s Aqaba. The Port of Gaza could compete with Alexandria as a cruse terminal for the Eastern Mediterranean, similar to Dubai. Finally, if it became a democracy, free of despotic rule, the new Palestinian state in Gaza could provide financial services for the whole Middle East as well as for Europe (competing with Switzerland and Lichtenstein), taking over the role of Beirut, which has lost its prominent international financial status under the suppressive dictatorial rule of Damascus.
The new Israeli Muslim citizens would have plenty of incentives to improve their standard of living rather than sacrifice their livelihood to violent, religion-motivated illusions. The experience of the last decade must have taught them that hatred and terrorism do not improve the standard of living, except for that of the corrupt terrorist leadership. Given a free choice, there is little doubt that the new Israeli Arab citizens will adopt Western democratic values and abandon militant Islam. Besides, the State of Israel will outlaw militant radical Islamism, just as it outlawed militant radical Judaism, i.e., Rabbi Kahane’s followers.
Israeli Muslims will have to make the same choice Muslims must make in Italy, Germany, Scandinavia, the Netherlands, Canada or the USA. Notwithstanding potential abuses by unscrupulous local politicians, if members of Muslim minorities chose to join militant international Islamism to the detriment of their host countries, they would be crushed and expelled. No country will tolerate an ethnic or religious minority that tries to undermine its regime. It is noteworthy that France, the cradle of egalitarianism, restricts the legal rights of a major fraction of its Muslim population, already today.
This proposed solution would alleviate terrorism and allow Jews and Arabs to coexist in peace and prosperity in two truly independent states. Terrorism cannot be sustained without the active support of a large segment of the population as well as hefty extramural financial support. Consequently, Arab terrorism will not be maintained in Israel, just as it has not been committed by the overwhelming majority of the current Muslim citizens of Israel, over the last fifty-five years. In the absence of financial support to potential terrorists and a legal ban on religious incitement against any religion or ethnic group, and prohibition of political movements that advocate hatred of any ethnic group, Arab terrorism in Israel would be eliminated. It must be remembered that following a protracted history of Arab violence, freedom of expression might be curtailed, just as certain civil rights have been curtailed in the US as a result of the global war against Islamistic terrorism.
Most importantly, while this proposed political solution will allow the Jews in Israel to maintain a separate and sustainable existence as an ethical, democratic society, it will also allow the Palestinians in the Gaza Strip to maintain a social and political structure of their choice under entirely unrestricted conditions.
Let us examine first the advantages of this suggested solution and then its requirements:
The other “peace plans,” including the American “Roadmap,” are likely to polarize the Jewish population, pitting the nationalistic Jewish orthodoxy against secular liberal Jews. This polarization that in other “two state” solutions would focus on free access to Jewish holy sites in Judea and Samaria, might end up in a Jewish civil war where both Jews and Arabs might become victims of extremism.
Let us now examine the tough prerequisites of the proposal:
Notwithstanding the expedient position of the American Secretary of State, who is ready to negotiate with Arafat or his emissaries, the American public must become aware that tolerating the PLO regime in the “disputed territories” is worse than tolerating the Baatist regime in Iraq. Tens of thousand of young hateful fanatic murderers are potentially more dangerous for the Western world than some weapons of mass destruction. These might be the people who will wield such weapons as super suicide bombers.
This process of “education” for murder has been going now for ten years, since the implementation of the ill-fated Oslo “peace process.” Little time is left before those youngsters, who have been taught little more than hatred and terrorist techniques, will hatch and be activated by the PLO, Hammas or Al Queda in the streets of Tel Aviv, New York or Chicago. This factor alone, carefully documented for years, should have been sufficient to justify the immediate removal of the PLO from power.
One might then wonder at the restraint of the Israeli government facing this unprecedented threat to its citizens and to Western civilization. The reason for this restraint is the heavy political and economic pressure of the American Administration on the Israeli government. This pressure is the indirect result of the ambivalence of the American public bombarded for years by Arab propaganda regarding the Arab-Israeli conflict.
If the Administration were confident in having the public firmly behind it in handling the variety of Islamistic threats, including the mass production of potential murderers by the PA, it might have acted very differently. The ambiguous public reaction to the terrorism in Iraq enhanced by irresponsible statements by some of the leaders of the Democratic Party makes American Administration less decisive, which is reflected in a similar indeciveness of the Sharon government.
Most importantly, the American public must realize that Yasser Arafat is a devout Islamistic terrorist like Osama bin Laden, but at the same time he is just as corrupt as Sadam Hussein, stealing a billion Dollars from his people and stashing them in personal European bank accounts, and just as ruthless in intimidating potential political opponents. Still the American Administration has prevented the Israelis from going after Arafat, presumably for fear of European uproar. However, the same administration has not hesitated to Ignore Europe and the “Arab street” when it went after Osama bin Laden and Sadam. As stated above, the Administration seems not confident in the backing of the American public. This explains the double standard applied to threatened American versus Israeli national interests. What is overlooked is, however, that tacit support of Arafat has already cost tens of American lives, and might result in much greater American losses in the foreseeable future.
Last but not least, the American public must recognize that Israel is the only genuine democracy in the Middle East with full freedom of the press and equal rights of all its citizens, irrespective of creed, faith, gender or sexual orientation. The Arab citizens of Israel enjoy a higher standard of living than in practically any Arab or Islamic country, including the major oil producers. This much for the Arab “Apartheid” propaganda.
These points are just the tip of the iceberg of objective arguments that must be brought to the attention of the American public to counter the lies of Arab propaganda, making everyone understand Israel’s intent to liberate the Palestinian Arabs and the world from the scourge of PLO terrorism. Moreover, it must be made clear to the public that, as stated repeatedly above, the ideology behind my proposed solution of the conflict follows the classical American values of personal freedom and equality under the law.
Naturally, I am biased in favor of my proposed plan. I may have overlooked, therefore, some of its disadvantages and shortcomings. I welcome any objective, constructive criticism. Open-mindedness to criticism is a major advantage of Western culture over contemporary Islam. I do believe that a major reform in Islam, making it compatible with Western civilization, is still going to occur in the 21st Century. It is way overdue. However, the Arab-Israeli conflict cannot wait. My proposed alternative unilateral political solution to the current peace initiatives, including the US sponsored “Roadmap to Peace,” warrants, therefore, serious consideration.
November 23, 2003
Enclosed are excerpts from a typical critique of this essay:
Dear Michael
It's interesting how much we think alike in general, but there certainly are differences. I disagree with you. First - I hope you don't think this is too flippant - having been to Gaza, I'm hoping someday to go there as a vacationer. The parts that the Jews live in have become beautiful. Also, it is important to Israel's security to monitor Arab traffic on the Mediterranean. And I don't see how anyone can trust the Arabs to keep their word. You don't give up real estate for a hope and a wish and an unreliable promise.
I
don't see the Temple Mount or the tabernacle site in Elon Moreh or Rachel's Tomb
as 2-D icons. I got very emotional when we climbed the Aliyah step on the South
side of the Temple Mount. In fact, I think that it is a failing that too many
Israelis see these physical survivals of our fundamental identity as a people
just as symbols or just as real estate. Arafat certainly understands that it is
their physical presence – their having been there for thousands of years - that
is important. Why else would he be destroying the Temple artifacts?
I also
don't agree that Israeli Arabs are loyal. Michael Kleiner of Herut has said that
estimates of Israeli Arab radicalism and their identification with the
'Palestinians' go
as high as 90% - but of course this is kept private.
Sincerely
Berni
And here is my response:
Dear Berni:
Let me respond to your critique
of my "Gaza plan":
1. It does not call for ANY agreement with Arabs so I do not have to trust them, which I don't anyhow because their religion permits deceit of infidels.
2. It alleviates a major part (about 45%) of the demographic problem as I detailed in my essay.
3. What is not less important, we end up with "two states for two people” without endangering the future of the State of Israel. The formation of a "Palestinian" state (no matter how big) is a prestige item for George Bush and even more so for the EU. Even if we get away with the status quo for the next five years, we may end up with a Hillary or Dean in the White House who will not hesitate to throw Israel to the dogs (i.e., the Arab controlled UN and the American Democrats some of whom claim already today that Israel has no right to exists), if not sending American Planes to bombard Tel Aviv (remember Belgrade!). The disengagement from the Arabs in one way or another must take place before 2008. Sharon understands this. What I am proposing is, however, substantially more advantageous to the future of Israel than leaving Arab enclaves in Judea and Samaria, which I am extremely worried about.
4. Strategically the Gaza state’s threat is insignificant because, just like the State of Israel with an Arab state in Samaria and Judea, it is vulnerable along a lengthy border. If the Egyptians moved into Gaza a significant army it would be cut off like the Third Army in 1973. The Egyptians know this and may not move a significant part of their army even to Rafah for fear it will be surround and cut off.
5. As far as controlling the Mediterranean, Israel has a MUCH longer coastline than the Gaza Strip. Besides, to control the Mediterranean Israel needs these days the Hills of Judea and Samaria and not the dunes of Gaza.
6. I must smile at your lamenting the potential loss of the Gaza Riviera. If the Palestinians will be sensible you will be still able to go there as a tourist. Following your logic the Lebanese coast up to and including Beirut are by far more attractive. Should Israel try to occupy those?
7. Like many Jewish Americans you seem to be paranoid about the Israeli Arabs contrary to the facts on the ground (see my essay "A danger that is not real").
By the same token we should be worrying about the Chicanos in California, New Mexico, Texas and Arizona who do have a small militant Mexican nationalistic element that claims than the USA has stolen their land, which should be part of Mexico. As long as these people do not use violence they should be tolerated like any other ethnic minority or crazy political party (we have many lunatics in this country and so does Israel). If and when these people become violent they must be kicked out of this country, the sovereignty of which they deny. The same should be true of Israeli Arabs.
The key issue in the Arab Israeli conflict is the recognition of the historical right of the Jewish people to their ancient homeland including all its national and religious symbols (see my essays "Israel's Right to Exist” and “Targeting Symbols”). We can live in harmony only with Arabs who accept this right. The trouble is that at this moment Israel has no constitution that obligates all its citizens to accept this right (see my "A Danger that is not Real").
With best regards,
Michael